Compare → Strike 2d6 @ AC15

2d6 @ AC15

Damage distribution for 2d6 @ AC15. Edit the expression or drag the HP slider — the URL updates as you go, so the page is always shareable. expression syntax →

Strike

Roll 1 twenty-sided die. Add +0. Compared against AC 15: you hit if the kept d20 face plus the bonus totals 15 or more (so the d20 needs to land on at least 15). A natural 20 always crits, regardless of AC. On a hit, deal 2 6-sided dice. On a crit, double the damage dice (the 2d6 becomes 4d6); flat modifiers stay the same.

min 0 max 24 mean 2.45 49/20 ±4.25
P(finish at 12 HP) = 4.50% (583/12960)
  • 0 70.00%
  • 1 0.00%
  • 2 0.69%
  • 3 1.39%
  • 4 2.09%
  • 5 2.79%
  • 6 3.51%
  • 7 4.24%
  • 8 3.61%
  • 9 2.99%
  • 10 2.39%
  • 11 1.79%
  • 12 1.18%
  • 13 0.54%
  • 14 0.56%
  • 15 0.54%
  • 16 0.48%
  • 17 0.40%
  • 18 0.31%
  • 19 0.22%
  • 20 0.14%
  • 21 0.08%
  • 22 0.04%
  • 23 0.02%
  • 24 0.00%
Strikes to kill 12 HP expected: 6.75
  • ≤ 1 4.50%
  • ≤ 2 13.78%
  • ≤ 3 25.01%
  • ≤ 4 36.49%
  • ≤ 5 47.29%
  • ≤ 6 56.94%
  • ≤ 7 65.27%
  • ≤ 8 72.28%
  • ≤ 9 78.07%
  • ≤ 10 82.79%
  • ≤ 11 86.58%
  • ≤ 12 89.59%
  • ≤ 13 91.97%
  • ≤ 14 93.84%
  • ≤ 15 95.29%
  • ≤ 16 96.41%
  • ≤ 17 97.27%
  • ≤ 18 97.94%
  • ≤ 19 98.44%
  • ≤ 20 98.83%
  • ≤ 21 99.12%
  • ≤ 22 99.34%
  • ≤ 23 99.51%

Truncated at 50 strikes — expected is a lower bound.