Compare → Strike 1d10+17 @ AC15 +4 adv brutal1 attacks 2 cascade [12_12_12_12] onkill 1d10+17 @ AC15 +4 adv brutal1

1d10+17 @ AC15 +4 adv brutal1 attacks 2 cascade [12_12_12_12] onkill 1d10+17 @ AC15 +4 adv brutal1

Damage distribution for 1d10+17 @ AC15 +4 adv brutal1 attacks 2 cascade [12_12_12_12] onkill 1d10+17 @ AC15 +4 adv brutal1. Edit the expression or drag the HP slider — the URL updates as you go, so the page is always shareable. expression syntax →

Strike

Take 2 main attacks per turn — each 1d10+17 on a hit (vs AC 15, +4 to hit (advantage), +1d10 on crit (Brutal/Savage)) — against an ordered queue of targets with HPs [12, 12, 12, 12]. Whenever an attack reduces a target to 0 HP (or crits), an extra bonus-action attack — 1d10+17 on a hit (vs AC 15, +4 to hit (advantage), +1d10 on crit (Brutal/Savage)) — fires and can itself kill the next target, cascading until the queue empties or no trigger fires. Models GWM-on-kill against trash waves.

Cascade strike note: queue clearance per round is the actually-meaningful answer for cascade strikes — see the widget directly below. The damage distribution further down shows total raw damage rolled across all attacks in the round (mains + cascading bonuses), including overkill that doesn't carry between targets. So P(finish at HP) on the plot means P(round rolls at least HP raw damage) — useful as a damage-budget metric, but not the same as "P(round clears the queue)".

Queue clearance per round expected: 3.15 (807/256) / 4
  • ≥ 1 93.75%
  • ≥ 2 84.38%
  • ≥ 3 73.83%
  • ≥ 4 63.28%

P(kills ≥ K) is the cumulative chance the round clears at least K targets from the cascade queue. Overkill stays in the dying minion and doesn't carry to the next target — only on-kill bonus attacks (and their crits) cascade.

min 0 max 188 mean 75.44 ±31.97
P(finish at 94 HP) = 34.05%
  • 0 6.25%
  • 1 0.00%
  • 2 0.00%
  • 3 0.00%
  • 4 0.00%
  • 5 0.00%
  • 6 0.00%
  • 7 0.00%
  • 8 0.00%
  • 9 0.00%
  • 10 0.00%
  • 11 0.00%
  • 12 0.00%
  • 13 0.00%
  • 14 0.00%
  • 15 0.00%
  • 16 0.00%
  • 17 0.00%
  • 18 0.82%
  • 19 0.82%
  • 20 0.82%
  • 21 0.82%
  • 22 0.82%
  • 23 0.83%
  • 24 0.83%
  • 25 0.84%
  • 26 0.85%
  • 27 0.86%
  • 28 0.05%
  • 29 0.07%
  • 30 0.08%
  • 31 0.08%
  • 32 0.09%
  • 33 0.09%
  • 34 0.09%
  • 35 0.09%
  • 36 0.16%
  • 37 0.24%
  • 38 0.31%
  • 39 0.38%
  • 40 0.45%
  • 41 0.52%
  • 42 0.59%
  • 43 0.67%
  • 44 0.75%
  • 45 0.83%
  • 46 0.76%
  • 47 0.69%
  • 48 0.63%
  • 49 0.56%
  • 50 0.50%
  • 51 0.43%
  • 52 0.37%
  • 53 0.30%
  • 54 0.24%
  • 55 0.18%
  • 56 0.20%
  • 57 0.23%
  • 58 0.26%
  • 59 0.29%
  • 60 0.33%
  • 61 0.38%
  • 62 0.43%
  • 63 0.48%
  • 64 0.53%
  • 65 0.56%
  • 66 0.59%
  • 67 0.60%
  • 68 0.61%
  • 69 0.60%
  • 70 0.58%
  • 71 0.55%
  • 72 0.52%
  • 73 0.47%
  • 74 0.45%
  • 75 0.44%
  • 76 0.46%
  • 77 0.50%
  • 78 0.57%
  • 79 0.68%
  • 80 0.83%
  • 81 1.01%
  • 82 1.23%
  • 83 1.47%
  • 84 1.72%
  • 85 1.97%
  • 86 2.21%
  • 87 2.43%
  • 88 2.63%
  • 89 2.78%
  • 90 2.88%
  • 91 2.92%
  • 92 2.91%
  • 93 2.86%
  • 94 2.77%
  • 95 2.65%
  • 96 2.51%
  • 97 2.36%
  • 98 2.20%
  • 99 2.03%
  • 100 1.88%
  • 101 1.74%
  • 102 1.61%
  • 103 1.50%
  • 104 1.39%
  • 105 1.28%
  • 106 1.18%
  • 107 1.08%
  • 108 0.98%
  • 109 0.89%
  • 110 0.80%
  • 111 0.71%
  • 112 0.63%
  • 113 0.55%
  • 114 0.48%
  • 115 0.41%
  • 116 0.36%
  • 117 0.31%
  • 118 0.26%
  • 119 0.23%
  • 120 0.20%
  • 121 0.17%
  • 122 0.15%
  • 123 0.13%
  • 124 0.11%
  • 125 0.09%
  • 126 0.08%
  • 127 0.06%
  • 128 0.05%
  • 129 0.05%
  • 130 0.04%
  • 131 0.03%
  • 132 0.03%
  • 133 0.02%
  • 134 0.02%
  • 135 0.01%
  • 136 0.01%
  • 137 0.01%
  • 138 0.01%
  • 139 0.01%
  • 140 0.00%
  • 141 0.00%
  • 142 0.00%
  • 143 0.00%
  • 144 0.00%
  • 145 0.00%
  • 146 0.00%
  • 147 0.00%
  • 148 0.00%
  • 149 0.00%
  • 150 0.00%
  • 151 0.00%
  • 152 0.00%
  • 153 0.00%
  • 154 0.00%
  • 155 0.00%
  • 156 0.00%
  • 157 0.00%
  • 158 0.00%
  • 159 0.00%
  • 160 0.00%
  • 161 0.00%
  • 162 0.00%
  • 163 0.00%
  • 164 0.00%
  • 165 0.00%
  • 166 0.00%
  • 167 0.00%
  • 168 0.00%
  • 169 0.00%
  • 170 0.00%
  • 171 0.00%
  • 172 0.00%
  • 173 0.00%
  • 174 0.00%
  • 175 0.00%
  • 176 0.00%
  • 177 0.00%
  • 178 0.00%
  • 179 0.00%
  • 180 0.00%
  • 181 0.00%
  • 182 0.00%
  • 183 0.00%
  • 184 0.00%
  • 185 0.00%
  • 186 0.00%
  • 187 0.00%
  • 188 0.00%
Strikes to kill 94 HP expected: 1.80
  • ≤ 1 34.05%
  • ≤ 2 87.89%
  • ≤ 3 98.27%
  • ≤ 4 99.78%

Want to compare 1d10+17 @ AC15 +4 adv brutal1 attacks 2 cascade [12_12_12_12] onkill 1d10+17 @ AC15 +4 adv brutal1 against another expression? ↦ Open the comparison tool — paste this in as one side and an alternative as the other.

Why some expressions kill faster than others with the same mean is the kind of thing the concepts pillars work out — start with variance and kill probability if this strike's distribution looks surprising.