Compare → Strike 1d8+2 @ hit 70 attacks 3 luck

1d8+2 @ hit 70 attacks 3 luck

Damage distribution for 1d8+2 @ hit 70 attacks 3 luck. Edit the expression or drag the HP slider — the URL updates as you go, so the page is always shareable. expression syntax →

Strike

Take 3 attacks in sequence — each 1d8+2 on a hit (vs AC 0, +0 to hit (70% chance)) — with the luck-pool (max=5, +500bps/unit, hit_cost=1, miss_refund=1) streak rule modulating per-attempt hit chance based on prior outcomes.

min 0 max 30 mean 17.65 282321/16000
P(finish at 15 HP) = 73.30% (46911/64000)
  • 0 0.01%
  • 1 0.00%
  • 2 0.00%
  • 3 0.15%
  • 4 0.15%
  • 5 0.15%
  • 6 0.56%
  • 7 0.96%
  • 8 1.37%
  • 9 1.92%
  • 10 2.62%
  • 11 3.30%
  • 12 4.28%
  • 13 5.39%
  • 14 5.84%
  • 15 6.42%
  • 16 7.15%
  • 17 7.59%
  • 18 7.75%
  • 19 7.63%
  • 20 7.22%
  • 21 6.53%
  • 22 5.96%
  • 23 5.11%
  • 24 3.97%
  • 25 2.98%
  • 26 2.13%
  • 27 1.42%
  • 28 0.85%
  • 29 0.43%
  • 30 0.14%
Strikes to kill 15 HP expected: 1.27
  • ≤ 1 73.30%
  • ≤ 2 99.88%

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Why some expressions kill faster than others with the same mean is the kind of thing the concepts pillars work out — start with variance and kill probability if this strike's distribution looks surprising.