Compare1d8+5@AC15+9 vs 1d8+5@AC15+9rider2d8

1d8+5@AC15+9 vs 1d8+5@AC15+9rider2d8

Side-by-side distributions with exact probabilities. Edit either expression or drag the HP slider — the URL updates as you go, so the page stays shareable. expression syntax →

Strike A

Deal roll 1 8-sided die, plus 5 on a hit (vs AC 15 with +9 to-hit).

min 0 max 21 mean 7.35 147/20
P(finish at 11 HP) = 30.47% (39/128)
  • 0 25.00%
  • 1 0.00%
  • 2 0.00%
  • 3 0.00%
  • 4 0.00%
  • 5 0.00%
  • 6 8.75%
  • 7 8.83%
  • 8 8.91%
  • 9 8.98%
  • 10 9.06%
  • 11 9.14%
  • 12 9.22%
  • 13 9.30%
  • 14 0.63%
  • 15 0.55%
  • 16 0.47%
  • 17 0.39%
  • 18 0.31%
  • 19 0.23%
  • 20 0.16%
  • 21 0.08%
  • 22 0.00%
  • 23 0.00%
  • 24 0.00%
  • 25 0.00%
  • 26 0.00%
  • 27 0.00%
  • 28 0.00%
  • 29 0.00%
  • 30 0.00%
  • 31 0.00%
  • 32 0.00%
  • 33 0.00%
  • 34 0.00%
  • 35 0.00%
  • 36 0.00%
  • 37 0.00%
  • 38 0.00%
  • 39 0.00%
  • 40 0.00%
  • 41 0.00%
  • 42 0.00%
  • 43 0.00%
  • 44 0.00%
  • 45 0.00%
  • 46 0.00%
  • 47 0.00%
  • 48 0.00%
  • 49 0.00%
  • 50 0.00%
  • 51 0.00%
  • 52 0.00%
  • 53 0.00%
Strike B

Deal roll 1 8-sided die, plus 5 on a hit (vs AC 15 with +9 to-hit, plus rider roll 2 8-sided dice on hit).

min 0 max 53 mean 14.55 291/20
P(finish at 11 HP) = 73.63% (377/512)
  • 0 25.00%
  • 1 0.00%
  • 2 0.00%
  • 3 0.00%
  • 4 0.00%
  • 5 0.00%
  • 6 0.00%
  • 7 0.00%
  • 8 0.14%
  • 9 0.41%
  • 10 0.82%
  • 11 1.37%
  • 12 2.05%
  • 13 2.87%
  • 14 3.83%
  • 15 4.92%
  • 16 5.75%
  • 17 6.30%
  • 18 6.58%
  • 19 6.59%
  • 20 6.33%
  • 21 5.80%
  • 22 5.00%
  • 23 3.93%
  • 24 3.01%
  • 25 2.22%
  • 26 1.57%
  • 27 1.06%
  • 28 0.69%
  • 29 0.44%
  • 30 0.33%
  • 31 0.34%
  • 32 0.35%
  • 33 0.34%
  • 34 0.33%
  • 35 0.30%
  • 36 0.27%
  • 37 0.24%
  • 38 0.21%
  • 39 0.17%
  • 40 0.13%
  • 41 0.10%
  • 42 0.08%
  • 43 0.05%
  • 44 0.04%
  • 45 0.02%
  • 46 0.02%
  • 47 0.01%
  • 48 0.00%
  • 49 0.00%
  • 50 0.00%
  • 51 0.00%
  • 52 0.00%
  • 53 0.00%

B finishes in 1.36 strikes vs A's 2.12 — B wins by 0.77 strikes.

Strikes to kill 11 HP expected: 2.12
  • ≤ 1 30.47%
  • ≤ 2 71.48%
  • ≤ 3 90.09%
  • ≤ 4 96.83%
  • ≤ 5 99.03%
  • ≤ 6 99.71%
Strikes to kill 11 HP expected: 1.36
  • ≤ 1 73.63%
  • ≤ 2 93.07%
  • ≤ 3 98.18%
  • ≤ 4 99.52%