Compare → Strike 1d12+15 @ AC18 +4 attacks 2 on crit 1d12+15 @ AC18 +4

1d12+15 @ AC18 +4 attacks 2 on crit 1d12+15 @ AC18 +4

Damage distribution for 1d12+15 @ AC18 +4 attacks 2 on crit 1d12+15 @ AC18 +4. Edit the expression or drag the HP slider — the URL updates as you go, so the page is always shareable. expression syntax →

Strike

Take 2 attacks per turn — each 1d12+15 on a hit (vs AC 18, +4 to hit). If at least one of them crits, take a bonus-action attack of 1d12+15 on a hit (vs AC 18, +4 to hit) (the Great Weapon Master crit-trigger feature).

min 0 max 117 mean 16.47 131723/8000
P(finish at 58 HP) = 1.69%
  • 0 42.25%
  • 1 0.00%
  • 2 0.00%
  • 3 0.00%
  • 4 0.00%
  • 5 0.00%
  • 6 0.00%
  • 7 0.00%
  • 8 0.00%
  • 9 0.00%
  • 10 0.00%
  • 11 0.00%
  • 12 0.00%
  • 13 0.00%
  • 14 0.00%
  • 15 0.00%
  • 16 3.25%
  • 17 3.28%
  • 18 3.31%
  • 19 3.34%
  • 20 3.37%
  • 21 3.40%
  • 22 3.43%
  • 23 3.46%
  • 24 3.48%
  • 25 3.51%
  • 26 3.54%
  • 27 3.57%
  • 28 0.35%
  • 29 0.32%
  • 30 0.29%
  • 31 0.26%
  • 32 0.30%
  • 33 0.33%
  • 34 0.37%
  • 35 0.41%
  • 36 0.45%
  • 37 0.50%
  • 38 0.54%
  • 39 0.59%
  • 40 0.65%
  • 41 0.73%
  • 42 0.82%
  • 43 0.90%
  • 44 0.87%
  • 45 0.83%
  • 46 0.79%
  • 47 0.74%
  • 48 0.69%
  • 49 0.64%
  • 50 0.58%
  • 51 0.51%
  • 52 0.44%
  • 53 0.37%
  • 54 0.29%
  • 55 0.21%
  • 56 0.18%
  • 57 0.16%
  • 58 0.14%
  • 59 0.12%
  • 60 0.10%
  • 61 0.09%
  • 62 0.08%
  • 63 0.07%
  • 64 0.06%
  • 65 0.06%
  • 66 0.06%
  • 67 0.06%
  • 68 0.06%
  • 69 0.06%
  • 70 0.06%
  • 71 0.06%
  • 72 0.06%
  • 73 0.06%
  • 74 0.06%
  • 75 0.05%
  • 76 0.05%
  • 77 0.05%
  • 78 0.04%
  • 79 0.04%
  • 80 0.03%
  • 81 0.03%
  • 82 0.03%
  • 83 0.02%
  • 84 0.02%
  • 85 0.02%
  • 86 0.01%
  • 87 0.01%
  • 88 0.01%
  • 89 0.01%
  • 90 0.00%
  • 91 0.00%
  • 92 0.00%
  • 93 0.00%
  • 94 0.00%
  • 95 0.00%
  • 96 0.00%
  • 97 0.00%
  • 98 0.00%
  • 99 0.00%
  • 100 0.00%
  • 101 0.00%
  • 102 0.00%
  • 103 0.00%
  • 104 0.00%
  • 105 0.00%
  • 106 0.00%
  • 107 0.00%
  • 108 0.00%
  • 109 0.00%
  • 110 0.00%
  • 111 0.00%
  • 112 0.00%
  • 113 0.00%
  • 114 0.00%
  • 115 0.00%
  • 116 0.00%
  • 117 0.00%
Strikes to kill 58 HP expected: 4.49
  • ≤ 1 1.69%
  • ≤ 2 15.50%
  • ≤ 3 37.20%
  • ≤ 4 57.90%
  • ≤ 5 73.75%
  • ≤ 6 84.48%
  • ≤ 7 91.18%
  • ≤ 8 95.15%
  • ≤ 9 97.39%
  • ≤ 10 98.63%
  • ≤ 11 99.29%
  • ≤ 12 99.64%

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Why some expressions kill faster than others with the same mean is the kind of thing the concepts pillars work out — start with variance and kill probability if this strike's distribution looks surprising.